Is Biden 'foregone conclusion' for Presidency or unlikely 'fuddy duddy'?

Industry commentators are as split as the polls

Lauren Mason
clock • 4 min read

A Joe Biden win in November’s US Election is a "foregone conclusion" given "diabolical" economic fundamentals under incumbent President Donald Trump, according to some industry commentators, while others have branded the Democratic candidate as a "fuddy duddy" who is unlikely to win over the US general public, warning his Presidency would lead to higher corporate taxes and increasing regulatory scrutiny of the mega-cap tech stocks.

This comes less than eight weeks before the polls take place, with the former Vice-President currently at a seven-point lead relative to the incumbent President, according to an average of national polls by FiveThirtyEight. David Absolon, investment director at Heartwood Investment Management, pointed out only three presidents have been "overwhelmingly re-elected" in modern history: Richard Nixon, Bill Clinton and Ronald Reagan. Should investors avoid US healthcare stocks in an election year? He said each had "solid" positive net approval ratings at 17.7%, 16.1% and 15.3%. At time ...

To continue reading this article...

Join Investment Week for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, analysis and opinion from the investment industry, including the Sustainable Hub covering fund news from the ESG space
  • Get ahead of regulatory and technological changes affecting fund management
  • Important and breaking news stories selected by the editors delivered straight to your inbox each day
  • Weekly members-only newsletter with exclusive opinion pieces from leading industry experts
  • Be the first to hear about our extensive events schedule and awards programmes

Join now

 

Already an Investment Week
member?

Login

More on US

Investors less bearish in May as recession fears recede
US

Investors less bearish in May as recession fears recede

BofA Global Fund Manager Survey

Sorin Dojan
clock 14 May 2025 • 2 min read
Impact of Trump's policies on US economy 'highly uncertain' as Fed hold rates steady
US

Impact of Trump's policies on US economy 'highly uncertain' as Fed hold rates steady

Inflation still above Fed's target

Sorin Dojan
clock 08 May 2025 • 2 min read
US SMIDs bleed more than $13bn after 'Liberation Day'
US

US SMIDs bleed more than $13bn after 'Liberation Day'

Investors split over fate of US assets

Sorin Dojan
clock 07 May 2025 • 4 min read
Trustpilot