Marlborough's Nathan Sweeney: Four potential black swans for 2024

Geopolitical tensions and AI

clock • 4 min read

Hamas’s attack on Israel and the resulting conflict in Gaza caught investors by surprise and led to market volatility amid concerns about a wider war in the Middle East.

What new ‘black swans' could the world face in 2024? Marlborough's multi-asset team have considered a range of unlikely yet plausible scenarios and penned four potential ‘black swan' events that could have a significant impact on markets in the year ahead. China turns its back on Russia to increase trade with the West China has proved Russia's most important ally during the war in Ukraine, with a US government intelligence report citing Beijing as helping Russia "mitigate both the impact of Western sanctions and export controls". Fed minutes warn rates could remain high 'for some...

To continue reading this article...

Join Investment Week for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, analysis and opinion from the investment industry, including the Sustainable Hub covering fund news from the ESG space
  • Get ahead of regulatory and technological changes affecting fund management
  • Important and breaking news stories selected by the editors delivered straight to your inbox each day
  • Weekly members-only newsletter with exclusive opinion pieces from leading industry experts
  • Be the first to hear about our extensive events schedule and awards programmes

Join now

 

Already an Investment Week
member?

Login

More on Markets

Market Movers blog: American equities open higher as US claims the upper hand in Iran strikes

Market Movers blog: American equities open higher as US claims the upper hand in Iran strikes

Latest news and analysis

Investment Week
clock 26 June 2025 • 1 min read
Winterflood Business Services' Ben Centa: UK investors remain seated with seatbelts fastened

Winterflood Business Services' Ben Centa: UK investors remain seated with seatbelts fastened

Headlines have painted a picture of market chaos over the last couple of months. Panicked retail investors have apparently been crowding the exit rows.

Ben Centa
clock 25 June 2025 • 3 min read
Oil price dives as Israel-Iran 'ceasefire' rumours emerge

Oil price dives as Israel-Iran 'ceasefire' rumours emerge

Largest price falls since 2022

Patrick Brusnahan
clock 24 June 2025 • 1 min read
Trustpilot