Entering 2017, we expected a stockmarket 'melt-up' to the 2,550-2,600 level on the S&P 500 - a move we thought might run into trouble by late summer.
S&P 500 up 16% in sterling terms
Markets have realised they have a new concept of risk to play with: idiotic risk. Largely unquantifiable, we see many shining examples, whether in North Korea, the White House or No 10.
While US stocks reached record levels over the summer months, political turbulence in the US, heightened geopolitical activity - as a result of increasing tensions with North Korea - and investor concerns about the costly impacts of Hurricane Harvey weighed...
Development of EM and US themes
We think there is scope for equities to keep climbing from here, and it is all down to the longevity of the business cycle, writes Luca Paolini, chief strategist at Pictet Asset Management.