Geikie-Cobb: Why now is the time to buy US Treasuries

clock • 2 min read

In recent months we have been buying 0-5 year US inflation-linked bonds (TIPS) as a defensive move to get exposure to the US dollar, writes MitonOptimal's Peter Geikie-Cobb.

At the time of purchase, we viewed the US bond market as still offering little value against a background of further monetary tightening by the Federeal Reserve. The big short: Fund managers warn of 'risky' Treasuries trade despite rising rate environment In addition, we felt that the market was being complacent in terms of what was being discounted for future inflation. The break-even rate of inflation, nominal yields minus real yields on TIPS, was pricing future US inflation at a little over 2% - i.e. the Fed's target rate. With the US economy re-accelerating from the Q1 slowdown...

To continue reading this article...

Join Investment Week for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, analysis and opinion from the investment industry, including the Sustainable Hub covering fund news from the ESG space
  • Get ahead of regulatory and technological changes affecting fund management
  • Important and breaking news stories selected by the editors delivered straight to your inbox each day
  • Weekly members-only newsletter with exclusive opinion pieces from leading industry experts
  • Be the first to hear about our extensive events schedule and awards programmes

Join now

 

Already an Investment Week
member?

Login

More on US

Investors less bearish in May as recession fears recede
US

Investors less bearish in May as recession fears recede

BofA Global Fund Manager Survey

Sorin Dojan
clock 14 May 2025 • 2 min read
Impact of Trump's policies on US economy 'highly uncertain' as Fed hold rates steady
US

Impact of Trump's policies on US economy 'highly uncertain' as Fed hold rates steady

Inflation still above Fed's target

Sorin Dojan
clock 08 May 2025 • 2 min read
US SMIDs bleed more than $13bn after 'Liberation Day'
US

US SMIDs bleed more than $13bn after 'Liberation Day'

Investors split over fate of US assets

Sorin Dojan
clock 07 May 2025 • 4 min read
Trustpilot