Miton's Grieves: Why it is possible to be bearish on the S&P 500

clock • 2 min read

Wall Street is not Main Street. In Wall Street's eyes, America is the S&P 500, but from Main Street, America looks very different, especially in its relative exposure to events overseas.

The US economy earns only 14% of its national income from exports, making the US one of the most insulated economies in the world. Countries like the UK and Germany by comparison have far greater international exposure with 30% and 46% of GDP respectively, coming from abroad. In contrast, almost half of all the revenues of companies in Wall Street's favourite S&P 500 benchmark comes from overseas market. For companies concentrated in domestic America, there is cause to be bullish given the strengthening economy of which the biggest driver is a reinvigorated consumer. With jobs becomin...

To continue reading this article...

Join Investment Week for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, analysis and opinion from the investment industry, including the Sustainable Hub covering fund news from the ESG space
  • Get ahead of regulatory and technological changes affecting fund management
  • Important and breaking news stories selected by the editors delivered straight to your inbox each day
  • Weekly members-only newsletter with exclusive opinion pieces from leading industry experts
  • Be the first to hear about our extensive events schedule and awards programmes

Join now

 

Already an Investment Week
member?

Login

More on US

Stonehage Fleming's Gerrit Smit: US stocks immune from tariff turmoil
US

Stonehage Fleming's Gerrit Smit: US stocks immune from tariff turmoil

Three high-quality examples

Gerrit Smit
clock 13 June 2025 • 4 min read
Rathbones' David Coombs: Trump's threats packing less of a punch
US

Rathbones' David Coombs: Trump's threats packing less of a punch

Credibility 'has taken a knock'

David Coombs
clock 10 June 2025 • 4 min read
Deep Dive: US dollar is not 'dead' but cracks raise concerns
US

Deep Dive: US dollar is not 'dead' but cracks raise concerns

Losing its supremacy

Sorin Dojan
clock 06 June 2025 • 3 min read
Trustpilot