Industry Voice: Does US yield curve inversion equal recession?

clock • 1 min read

Conventional wisdom suggests that US recessions usually follow an inverted yield curve. Given that the US yield curve has once again inverted, should we assume that a recession is on its way?

More on Markets

Market Movers blog: US markets mixed while UK gilt yields pull back on Streeting rumours

Market Movers blog: US markets mixed while UK gilt yields pull back on Streeting rumours

Latest news and analysis

Investment Week
clock 13 May 2026 • 1 min read
US inflation rises in April to dent rate cut hopes

US inflation rises in April to dent rate cut hopes

Energy index up 17.9%

Patrick Brusnahan
clock 12 May 2026 • 1 min read
Friday Briefing: Can I count on your vote?

Friday Briefing: Can I count on your vote?

Friday Briefing

Patrick Brusnahan
clock 11 May 2026 • 2 min read
Trustpilot