Will actives finally outperform passives?
The worst case scenario for emerging market (EM) equities has started to unfold, turning a potentially positive outlook around by 180 degrees.
Trump's tariff threats could backfire on US citizens
Market signals pose 'dilemma' for investors
Knee-jerk reactions could become self-fulfilling
Which asset classes will benefit?
We are seeing a new bout of deterioration in fundamentals, with earnings revisions worsening and PMIs back on a declining path across emerging markets (EM).
Part of the June equity market rally was driven by growing investor expectation of a July rate cut in the US, which we believe is overdone.