The bottom has fallen out of gilt yields and high-yield credit spreads have been bouncing all over the place. The iTraxx high yield spread index hit a two-year high of 249 basis points (bps) to 310bps during the month, before rallying in early June to 245bps after the month-end.
These are the kinds of fluctuations that you see towards the back-end of a business cycle. The macro-implied probability of recession has spiked recently. The yield curve has inverted in the US and the...
Investors have piled into bonds such that more than $15trn worth are now negative yielding if held to maturity – a new record.
Knee-jerk reactions could become self-fulfilling
Poring through the FCA's new regulations
A fond farewell
What risk factors should investors look out for?