Mundy's Moment: The great financial experiment

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For the year ahead I think everyone's desire would be for a fund manager to be able to state exactly what is going to happen over the next 12 months and exactly how they think their portfolio is positioned to benefit from that.

  Our ambition is really completely different. We expect there to be a number of different scenarios that could unroll over the next 12 months, particularly during these times when we are living through a great financial experiment. This experiment could result in lots of unintended consequences: inflation; deflation; all sorts of terrible economic outlooks such as recession, depression, rioting on the streets, revolution, perhaps the odd currency crisis? Against that outlook we need to be aware of what assets could help us. And of course there is also a scenario where absolutely e...

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