How to be contrarian in 2012

MUNDY'S MOMENT

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Catching falling knives was a reasonably fruitless activity in 2011. In fact, many of the worst market performers in 2010 were poor once again last year.

As contrarian investors, we must question whether anything has occurred to adversely affect our style of investing in out of favour shares. Is contrarian investing going the same way as boy bands, Curly Wurlys, fondue sets, and shaggy perms? In our view, some rules of engagement have changed significantly. The first is the influence of the economic and financial backdrop. Company turnarounds are most straightforward when economic conditions are sound; there is simply more turnover within an industry to divide between the various protagonists. In weaker times, the battle for turnover r...

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