We expect to see continued market volatility and macroeconomic uncertainty in the UK throughout 2019, not least due to Brexit.
US stocks had a turbulent last quarter in 2018 and have been somewhat volatile since the start of this year.
While we are stock-pickers, we do not ignore the business cycle; analysing it helps us determine when to allocate capital to certain companies.
Last month the US yield curve inverted, with the yield on 10-year Treasury bonds dipping beneath the yield on 3-month Treasury bills.
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