UK to escape triple-dip recession:NIESR

clock

The UK will narrowly escape a triple-dip recession with economic growth for Q1 forecast to be 0.1%, acccording to the National Institute of Economic and Social Research(NIESR).

However, although the group predicted the UK is growing again, following a 0.3% decline in Q4 2012, it admitted "the economy [was] broadly flat in the first quarter of this year". It expects growth of just 0.7% for 2013, which is slightly ahead of the Office for Budget Responsibility's forecast of 0.6%. NIESR said it still believes the UK economy will take seven years to recover from the impact of the financial crisis: "We do not expect output to pass its peak in early 2008 until 2015." The UK's growth figure for Q1 was supported by strong manufacturing data for February. Output gr...

To continue reading this article...

Join Investment Week for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, analysis and opinion from the investment industry, including the Sustainable Hub covering fund news from the ESG space
  • Get ahead of regulatory and technological changes affecting fund management
  • Important and breaking news stories selected by the editors delivered straight to your inbox each day
  • Weekly members-only newsletter with exclusive opinion pieces from leading industry experts
  • Be the first to hear about our extensive events schedule and awards programmes

Join now

 

Already an Investment Week
member?

Login

More on Economics

Sticky inflation dampens Bank of England's rate cutting prospects

Sticky inflation dampens Bank of England's rate cutting prospects

MPC to meet on Thursday

Linus Uhlig
clock 18 June 2025 • 3 min read
Tariffs drive record fall in UK exports to US

Tariffs drive record fall in UK exports to US

Imports fall by £400m

Linus Uhlig
clock 12 June 2025 • 2 min read
Partner Insight: What are the implications of policies of the Trump Administration on EMD?

Partner Insight: What are the implications of policies of the Trump Administration on EMD?

Matthew Murphy, Institutional Portfolio Manager of the Emerging Markets Team at Morgan Stanley Investment Management (MSIM), shared his view on the implications of the policies introduced by the Trump Administration for emerging market debt (EMD). Murphy then explained the firm’s approach to the EMD segment.

Matthew Murphy, Institutional Portfolio Manager of the Emerging Markets Team at Morgan Stanley Investment Management (MSIM)
clock 12 June 2025 • 7 min read
Trustpilot