Cyclically adjusted valuations have returned to long-term norms, and investors are no longer rewarded in kind for taking on extra risk.
We are due to see a near-term change in market leadership, whereby defensive stocks will pick up momentum and displace cyclicals as the main performers. Quality, defensive businesses should provide investors with good dividend returns coupled with the prospect of growth and the portfolio is focused towards companies with strong balance sheets, high returns on operating capital and low cyclically adjusted valuations accordingly. I anticipate further market volatility as economies attempt to pull away from recession. The recovery so far remains vulnerable, and sovereign debt problems facin...
To continue reading this article...
Join Investment Week for free
- Unlimited access to real-time news, analysis and opinion from the investment industry, including the Sustainable Hub covering fund news from the ESG space
- Get ahead of regulatory and technological changes affecting fund management
- Important and breaking news stories selected by the editors delivered straight to your inbox each day
- Weekly members-only newsletter with exclusive opinion pieces from leading industry experts
- Be the first to hear about our extensive events schedule and awards programmes