Global equity markets appear to be in healthier shape.
However, due to heightened valuations and ambitious earnings forecasts, there is more room for negative than positive surprises. Therefore, from a portfolio standpoint, our current preference is to maintain a moderate underweight in equities relative to cash and fixed interest. Our moderately negative view on equities follows our belief earning expectations for 2010 look rather optimistic. Although year-on-year comparisons will be helped by a low base effect, the consensus expectation is for 25% year-on-year profit growth, which represents one of the most bullish forecasts on record. The...
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