Where now for the Fed as 'political interest will play out immensely'?

The White House will have power to appoint governors

clock • 2 min read

The semi-annual testimony of Federal Reserve chairman Janet Yellen was mostly descriptive, consensual and in one word - boring, but the next events will be more interesting to observe, writes Seilern Investment Management CIO Raphael Pitoun.

First, it confirms that long-term inflation expectations have been stable. Whether you look at it from a consumer or business perspective, the rate seems to be stuck at between 2% and 2.5%.  Secondly, the Federal Reserve insists on the fact that market-based inflation expectations tell a different story. Both the TIPS and inflation swaps are heading north.  Thirdly, the Federal Reserve perceives the level of systemic risk in the financial system as globally moderate, despite the increase in mortgage rates. It notes banks remain well capitalised and even if the equity market reached ne...

To continue reading this article...

Join Investment Week for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, analysis and opinion from the investment industry, including the Sustainable Hub covering fund news from the ESG space
  • Get ahead of regulatory and technological changes affecting fund management
  • Important and breaking news stories selected by the editors delivered straight to your inbox each day
  • Weekly members-only newsletter with exclusive opinion pieces from leading industry experts
  • Be the first to hear about our extensive events schedule and awards programmes

Join now

 

Already an Investment Week
member?

Login

More on US

Partner Insight: How do US elections affect stock market performance?
US

Partner Insight: How do US elections affect stock market performance?

It’s the economy that matters for US presidential elections and stocks

Thomas Poullaouec and Nathan Wang at T.Rowe Price
clock 16 May 2024 • 4 min read
Federated Hermes' Pines: Impact of second Trump term on stock markets is 'overemphasised'
US

Federated Hermes' Pines: Impact of second Trump term on stock markets is 'overemphasised'

Amid rising tensions with China

Sorin-Andrei Dojan
clock 02 May 2024 • 1 min read
Fed holds rates steady as 'lack of further progress' on inflation signals higher for longer stance
US

Fed holds rates steady as 'lack of further progress' on inflation signals higher for longer stance

Slowdown of QT programme

Valeria Martinez
clock 02 May 2024 • 2 min read
Trustpilot