Armstrong: Only inflation will combat Western debt

clock

Inflation is the only way to reduce the high debt to GDP forecast for the UK and US, which is set to match that of Greece by 2014, says Distinction Asset Management's Ana Armstrong.

The former Insight multi-manager says according to IMF estimates, debt to GDP is expected to be around 100% for the UK and US by 2014. She says there are historically three main solutions for recovering the high debt levels, although inflation looks to be the "only way" out of the problem. One option is sustained growth, although she says this is not a likely scenario. "Growth is anaemic in the West, unemployment is quite high at 10% in the US, and with GDP depending heavily on consumption, growth cannot materialise like it did five years ago. "So in the West, I do not think growth...

To continue reading this article...

Join Investment Week for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, analysis and opinion from the investment industry, including the Sustainable Hub covering fund news from the ESG space
  • Get ahead of regulatory and technological changes affecting fund management
  • Important and breaking news stories selected by the editors delivered straight to your inbox each day
  • Weekly members-only newsletter with exclusive opinion pieces from leading industry experts
  • Be the first to hear about our extensive events schedule and awards programmes

Join now

 

Already an Investment Week
member?

Login

More on Investment

Trium Capital's Donald Pepper: Tariff tide reveals those swimming uncorrelated

Trium Capital's Donald Pepper: Tariff tide reveals those swimming uncorrelated

'Conventional diversification no longer provides adequate protection'

Donald Pepper
clock 30 April 2025 • 4 min read
Event Voice: Your questions answered by FSSA Investment Managers at the Emerging Markets Conference

Event Voice: Your questions answered by FSSA Investment Managers at the Emerging Markets Conference

Angus Sandison, Investment Analyst, FSSA Investment Managers
clock 24 April 2025 • 3 min read
US M&A spending jumps 50% in March as deal volume declines

US M&A spending jumps 50% in March as deal volume declines

Near 6% drop in number of deals happening

Eve Maddock-Jones
clock 23 April 2025 • 1 min read
Trustpilot