Equity markets around the world have continued to rally, fuelled by liquidity and some signs of improving economic data.
Yet despite the surge in share prices, we are not anticipating a rapid, V-shaped recovery. Deleveraging by consumers, companies and governments looks set to continue, potentially resulting in slower demand and sub-trend economic growth for a protracted period. In both the developed and developing worlds, governments are playing a far larger role in determining economic activity – resorting to “printing money” to stabilise the economy. “Real” assets such as equities, commodities and property will benefit from these loose financial conditions. The long-term investment case for commodities ...
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