News - Europe
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has cut forecasts for UK economic growth this year, warning GDP will grow by just 0.6% in 2012.
In its latest World Economic Outlook, the organisation moved to lower its forecast from the 1.6% growth it had pencilled in just three months ago for the UK, as the crisis in Europe continues to impact investor sentiment.
The IMF also warns there will be a "mild recession" in Europe, with growth shrinking by 0.5% before recovering in 2013.
It adds it expects to see "global activity decelerating but not collapsing".
Growth estimates have been cut for the main eurozone countries, including Germany which is forecast to grow 0.3% in 2012, down from the 1.3% originally predicted in September.
The eurozone countries worst affected by the crisis face recessions, with the IMF predicting a fall in Italian GDP of -2.2pct, as well a 1.7% decline in Spain.
However, most major economies should avoid sinking into recession as long as European policymakers intensify their efforts to address the eurozone crisis, the IMF says.
Overall, global growth was revised down to 3.3% in 2012, from a September forecast of 4%. The IMF expects to see 3.9% growth in 2013.
Given the depth of the 2009 recession, the IMF warned the latest growth rates are "too sluggish to make a major dent in very high unemployment."
there was some relief for consumers however, with global consumer inflation projected to ease as demand softens. The IMF said price pressures should remain subdued in advanced economies because of well-anchored inflation expectations.
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A year of suprises
I have a feeling that 2012 will be a year of suprises as far as growth is concerned. The Olympics will add some element of growth, and I have to say that looking around me in Plymouth I am struggling to see a lack of activity. All feels a bit normal to me.
I can see redundancies happening and retailers going bust but these seem to be related to a shift in purchasing habits.
Restaurants are busy - so are we just trying to find a recesssion in the news!
Posted by: Andrew Moore
24 Jan 2012 | 16:34
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