Last month the US yield curve inverted, with the yield on 10-year Treasury bonds dipping beneath the yield on 3-month Treasury bills.
The US dollar is close to peaking and the risks now seem to be on the downside.
More thought and selectivity required from investors
Making diversification work for you
QT a big risk
As has been reported many times, this business cycle has continued for a long time.
The UK remains out of favour among global investors and, with domestic fund flows retreating, we have been taking this opportunity to add to UK equities as sentiment seems to have reached extreme levels.
Attractive relative valuations
Concentration of assets run by top managers hits record level as firms are warned about shift away from 'traditional models'
Top 500 firms' assets reach $93.8trn
Over the past few months, we have become more positive on US Treasuries.
While many managers have been fighting the trend, it is difficult to ignore the continued outperformance of the US.
Inflationary pressures in Europe
Worst-selling equity region
Behaviours, animals or something else?
Low-cost investment solution
Real estate 'superior returns coming to an end'
What is on industry leaders' radar for the next six months?
Custom-made or off-the-shelf?
Investing through futures
2018 has seen another spring dominated by political manoeuvrings, in particular the return of 'The Italian Question'.