How can the Fed solve the interest rate conundrum?

How can the Fed solve the interest rate conundrum?

clock

Peter Elston, chief investment officer at Seneca Investment Managers, takes a closer look at the challenges facing central banks.

It is generally agreed that a little inflation (in the order of 2% per annum) is a good thing. Anything higher than this impedes private sector investment decisions. Anything lower is, according to the Federal Reserve, "associated with an elevated probability of falling into deflation." Therefore, a level of 2% is neither too hot nor too cold, but just right. The problem is that in the past it has been extremely hard to keep inflation at this "Goldilocks-like" level. For only one third of the time since 1774 has 10-year annualised inflation in the US been between 0% and 3%. Furthermor...

To continue reading this article...

Join Investment Week for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, analysis and opinion from the investment industry, including the Sustainable Hub covering fund news from the ESG space
  • Get ahead of regulatory and technological changes affecting fund management
  • Important and breaking news stories selected by the editors delivered straight to your inbox each day
  • Weekly members-only newsletter with exclusive opinion pieces from leading industry experts
  • Be the first to hear about our extensive events schedule and awards programmes

Join now

 

Already an Investment Week
member?

Login

More on Economics

Trustpilot