Go to Investment Week homepage
  • Site search
  • Job search
  • Subscribe
  • Newsletter
  • Mobile
  • RSS
  • Home
  • News
  • Opinion
  • Fund Manager Views
  • Interviews
  • Sector Analysis
  • Features
  • Events
  • Audio/Video
  • Jobs
  • Research Centre
  • Share Centre
  • About us
  • Contact us
  • Advertise
  • UK
  • Global
  • Fixed Income
  • Managed
  • Specialist
  • Markets
  • Goslings Grouse
  • Contrarian Investor
  • Leader
  • The Alchemist
  • The Big Interview
  • Fund Manager Focus
  • Funds to watch (RADAR)
  • Practical
  • Technical
  • The Big Question
  • Conjecture
Where am I? breadcrumbs arrow image Home breadcrumbs arrow image  News breadcrumbs arrow image Investment breadcrumbs arrow image Fixed Income breadcrumbs arrow image Bonds

NEWS - BONDS

Managers warn UK to be in firing line after Greece

05 Feb 2010 | 14:45
David Walker

Categories: Bonds

Topics: Cazenove | Thames river | Old mutual asset managers

  • Tweet

Bond fund managers forecast a bleak future for the UK as the markets continue punishing Greece for its debt problems.

Stewart Cowley, head of fixed income at Old Mutual Asset Managers, says the debt woes and fiscal deficits confronting Europe's southern states will take years to resolve.

As global bond markets continue their sell-off today, Cowley adds: "The cross hairs will turn then to the UK, and that is why the UK is getting hurt now, too."

However, he says if UK politicans attack UK public debt and deficits, a strong pound could be the surprise package of the year.

"The government has done hard things with the banks. There is good reason gilts could rally and the pound could rise, if people do the right thing," he adds.

Meanwhile, Peter Geikie-Cobb, co-manager of Thames River Capital's Global Bond fund, also has concerns about the UK and has instead been buying German bunds and US Treasuries.

He says: "I would expect sterling to take the strain of the debt burden as we devalue and deflate.

"There are good opportunities in bunds and the long end of the Treasuries market, but that is as far as it goes."

Peter Harvey, manager of Cazenove's Strategic Bond fund, says corporate tax hikes are one remedy the UK government might consider to tackle the country's problems.

He says: "There are debt-to-GDP concerns, and fiscal deficit concerns. Countries can normally chug along with one of them, but Greece and the UK are subject to double digit fiscal deficits and government debt to GDP ratios exceeding 100%."

Harvey says even this 100% threshhold is breached for the UK if private finance initiative debt "and other off-balance sheet debt" is taken into account.

Market pricing of bond protection suggests the UK government is more than twice as risky a debtor as pharmaceutical company GlaxoSmitKline, he warns.

Harvey says: "I look to be in companies with resilient earnings outside the UK, and manegeable borrowings such as AstraZeneca and GSK."

"They are pricey at the bond level, but if you are in a choppy year, it pays to stick at the pricey-but-quality end of the spectrum.

"People are reversing their risk decisions, and this will continue until there is a proper austerity plan for the UK."

  • Print
  • Share
  • Comment
  • Managers warn UK to be in firing line after Greece

More bondsnews

  • Conjecture: High Yield Bonds

  • Gilt bull run still has legs - MAM's Gray

  • Distinction converts Cautious Return into multi-manager fund

  • Why the eurozone has more than 12 months left

Email alerts

  • Get similar articles direct to your inbox

Related information

Recommended reading

  • Could Ireland be this year’s recovery play?

  • Russia: Why it is bucking the trend in Emerging Europe

  • Why the eurozone has more than 12 months left

  • IMA Global sector gathers momentum as investors search for more diversity

  • Barclays' profits fall 3%, bonus pool shrinks by 26%

Categories

  • Bonds

Topics

  • Cazenove

  • Thames River

  • Old Mutual Asset Managers

Categories: Bonds

Topics: Cazenove | Thames river | Old mutual asset managers

  • Comment
  • Email to a friend
  • Print

COMMENTS

There are no comments submitted yet. Do you have an interesting opinion? Then be the first to post a comment.Post a comment

MOST COMMENTED ARTICLES

  • Spurs boss Redknapp cleared of tax evasion charges

  • FATCA: US Treasury updates proposals to ease burden

  • Woodford ditches Tesco as Buffett buys

  • Buffett: Bonds should come with a health warning

  • Investors 'twice as likely' to choose active funds over trackers - Lipper

AUDIO/VIDEO

  • Conjecture: High Yield Bonds

  • Conjecture: Global Emerging Markets

  • VIDEO: Why Japan is set for a recovery in 2012

  • Conjecture: Global Equities

  • Conjecture: Fixed Income

THE BIG QUESTION

fragment image

Every week, we ask the experts for their views on the latest topics in the industry

  • View all

EVENTS

  • fund5live

  • Senate Spring Investment Conference

  • Absolute Returns Focus 2012

  • Most read
  • Popular topics
  • Related articles
  • Woodford ditches Tesco as Buffett buys

  • The four key trades to power SLI’s GARS fund in 2012

  • Barclays shares soar despite profits fall

  • Could Ireland be this year’s recovery play?

  • How to access precious metals through ETFs

  • Close Brothers
  • IMF
  • Inflation
  • Italy
  • Portugal
  • Schroders
  • Spain
  • US
  • Warren Buffett
  • eu
  • Fears of fresh Portuguese bailout hit markets

  • US markets plunge as Greek parliament calls crisis talks

  • US markets surge on latest eurozone hopes

  • LIVEBLOG: Global markets in turmoil

  • Global markets rally as EU moves closer to Greek bailout

EDITOR'S CHOICE

1 2 3 4

hale-clive

View from the Bridge: Investment biker

Being a long time motorbiker, I am very conscious of the ever present threat that comes from being unaware of what is in front of you.

Jupiter tops Alpha Manager provider list

Jupiter Unit Trust Managers employs the most FE Alpha Managers with 12 on the newly revealed list for 2012.

lawrence-gosling

Gosling's Grouse: Baying for blood

When a phlebotomist sticks a needle in a vein you pay attention. He or she has you just where they want you.

obama-concerned

FDR, Reagan, Clinton or Obama: When were markets strongest?

Three years into Barack Obama's term as US president, how do equity market returns under this administration compare with those seen under previous leaders?

DIGITAL EDITION

fragment image

Investment Week digital edition

Register now to receive Investment Week in your inbox.

@INVESTMENTWEEK

fragment image

Follow IW on Twitter

Sign up to have all Investment Week's news and analysis tweeted straight to your timeline.
  • Home
  • News
  • Opinion
  • Fund Manager Views
  • Interviews
  • Sector Analysis
  • Features
  • Events
  • Audio/Video
  • Jobs
  • Research Centre
  • Share Centre
logo

© Incisive Media Investments Limited 2012, Published by Incisive Financial Publishing Limited, Haymarket House, 28-29 Haymarket, London SW1Y 4RX, are companies registered in England and Wales with company registration numbers 04252091 & 04252093

  • Site search

sponsored by

Site Credentials:

  • Contact us
  • About Incisive Media
  • Privacy policy
  • Terms & Conditions
  • Accessibility
  • Sitemap

Related websites:

  • IFAonline
  • Professional Adviser
  • Mortgage Solutions
  • Retirement Planner
  • ETFM
  • International Investment
  • Professional Pensions
  • Global Pensions

Jobs:

  • Director/Executive jobs
  • Investment Adviser jobs
  • Investment Analyst jobs
  • Portfolio Manager jobs
  • Private Client Stockbroker jobs
  • Wealth Manager jobs

Accreditations:

  • Digital Publisher of the Year 2010
Tweet